Okay, after a few days of some information gathering and conferring with colleagues, I have finally completed my response to this quite lengthy article.
El TC wrote:I just want to extend my previous points a bit more with some data here,
hope it doesn't get too boring
NK is about the only nation which can engage the US in a TOTAL war. They simply cannot be called a weak nation or impoverished nation purely because they are the only mation to face down a military superpower as the US.
You are 100% wrong, and I doubt many military analysts would come to the same conclusion. North Korea would definiately offer a devastating first strike, that is only because they have been placing artillery all over the border for around 50 years. I'm not speculating that NK is weak or impoverished, it's a
fact. If you need more convincing, read this recentl article about North Korean border guards running across the border.
http://www.dailynk.com/english/read.php?cataId=nk00400&num=1645 In NK they are consider pretty well paid as well. Kim Jongs isolationist policies while constantly antagonizing the international community, especially China, have left it in even more a desolate position. The only nation's that could really be on par with a pitched battle against the US would be China, maybe Russia (If they get their funding problems and collective acts together and the British. Btw, as dramatic as it sounds it would not be "total war" to the US. I doubt North Korean naval fleets will be sailing to the US, or ballistic missiles will be flying all over the place in the US. Think of North Korea like Mike Tyson, he'll throw a few hell of a good punches and then will lose steam. North Korea simply can NOT fight a pitched battle, it's a fact that any reputable military analyst will agree with. (Without outside help.)
El TC wrote:NK's war plan in case of US attacks is total war with the US, not a regional conflict. NK expects no help from its allies China and Russia and I doubt Russia or China would get involved in this war if it ever happened to begin with. NK's war plan further calls for TOTAL DESTRUCTION of the USA. If the US uses a preemptive strike against NK's nuclear facilities they will answer with WMD's against US targets.
You almost sound like an NK mouthpiece there.

There isn't really much of a NK navy to speak of, how exactly will North Korea expand this beyond a regional conflict? They have China above them and South Korea below, it will not be "total war" as you put it. The will inflict horrendous casualities at the DMZ without a doubt because of a 50 year military buildup there, but once the US begins fighting back it will end pretty fast. How praytell will the North Koreans strike back against the US? I'll be liberal and say they have 100 nuclear bombs, how many of those actually have the engines to reach the US? How many of those will be shot down by our missile defense systems? The North Korea will never cause "total destruction" of the US, that's a farce of a statement. If North Korea does decide to use nuclear weapons, the US will be hurt for sure. (Nuclear weapons is a big deal.) But I can guarantee you that there will be no North Korea on the map as the US will either strike with it's nuclear weapons at Kim Jong Il or at the entire country. There will be no international outcry against the US either as NK will be the ones to use it first. Either with WMD attacks or a conventional war, North Korea will always be defeated.
El TC wrote:All nations keep their military capabilities a secret. It is nearly impossible to make out NK's capabilities simply because it is nearly impossible to plant any US agents in NK for obvious reasons and since all their comms is underground, no US spy plane or satellite has ever reached a conclusive result about their capabilities.
Is this speculation, or are you basing this on sources of yours? If sources, I'd like to hear them. I kind of laughed when you said it is, "impossible to make out NK capabilites.." They are still using old Soviet doctrine to train up their troops and buying whatever meager scraps that can get from Russia, Iran and occasionally China. If they didn't have WMD's, they wouldn't even really rank as much a threat. Who told you their comm's were underground anyways? I work in communications / computers and I'm curious how you came to that conclusion. (Only VLF waves travel very well underground with an incredibly slow bandwith and I seriously doubt that North Korea would invest in much fiber optic cabling except for important Command Centers.) On a curious note, your long analysis message you quoted is full of statistics and numbers but no "about's" or "around" guesstimate figures. With that said, how did you come to the conclusion that we have no accurate knowledge of their capabilites? Questions, questions..

El TC wrote:Apart from that, it is however possible to draw some general conclusions from information obtained.
1. NK makes its own weapons
North Korea has annual production capacity for 200,000 AK automatic guns, 3,000 heavy guns, 200 battle tanks, 400 armored cars and amphibious crafts. North Korea makes its own submarines, landing drafts, high-speed missile-boats, and other types of warships. Home-made weaponry makes it possible for North Korea to maintain a large military force on a shoestring budget.
Did you read the entirety of this article? About a paragraph or two up you were saying that we do not know the bounds of North Korea's power, yet here we are seeing near exact statistics as to their production. Id also like to question the authenticity of this person you have quoted. I haven't found a single article (Except this one) on multiple websites, yet I can't find any others plus I can't find the office he says he is from either. Try
http://www.globalsecurity.org/wmd/world/dprk/index.html instead. The North Korean doctrine is based on previous Soviet and Chinese training as they have no other wars to learn from save the Korean conflict really. I'd really like to know where the author got HIS information from.
El TC wrote:2. NK soldiers are highly motivated
North Korean soldiers are taught to fight to the bitter end. In September 1996, a North Korean submarine got stranded at Kangrung, South Korea, and its crew abandoned the ship. Eleven of the crew committed suicide and the rest fought to the last man except one who was captured. In June 1998, another submarine got caught in fishing nets at Sokcho and its crew killed themselves. Such is the fighting spirit of North Korean soldiers.
Fighting spirit? If you go out and commit suicide, I wouldn't call that a "fighting spirit" , lol! At least when the Japanese were using the same theory they at least did a suicide ATTACK, not just killing themselves. That's just stupid. Not to mention that if this author can only cite 2 occasions of this happening, each case years apart (And 9 years later I still haven't heard of another instance) then I wouldn't put much stock in that. Btw, those were sailors / submariners, not soldiers. 2 cases of self-sacrifice does not make a "highly motivated" force.

(That's a submariners spirit in my opinion, I was a submariner for 2 1/2 years

)
El TC wrote:3. NK is combat ready
North Korea's militias consist of 1.6 million self-defense units, 100,000 people's guards, 3.9 million workers militia, 900,000 youth guard units. These militias are tasked to defend the homeland. The militias are fully armed and undergo military trainings regularly.
Just more numbers designed to impress.
El TC wrote:4. Artillery
North Korea's 170mm Goksan gun and 240mm multiple-tube rocket launchers are the most powerful guns in the world. The big guns are hidden in caves. Many of them are mounted on rails and can fire in all directions. They can rain 500,000 conventional and biochemical shells per hour on US troops near the DMZ. Gen. Thomas A Schwartz, a former US army commander in Korea, stated that the US army in Korea would be destroyed in less than three hours.
What is his source for this? I've seen his entire article and read it through and through, but I see not 1 single source cited. As any reputable scientist or researcher will tell you, (Or college student) cite, cite, cite! Otherwise this whole article is just conjecture. (Not to mention it is still at odds with your "we don't know the extent of their forces" arguement at the beginning.) The milita's and youth guard are only as good as their training which is still pretty dated. The only thing they have going for them is numbers and artillery. The militas can be trained all day, and the numbers look impressive, but US training is superior which is an immediate force multiplier, technologically superior, superior Navy, and just about everything else. Numbers are impressive for sure, but there are simply to many force multipliers the US has that the North Koreans do not. (ie the "Black Hawk Down incident. Sure, the troops were reatreating and faced losses, but I would point out that out of about 160 Delta operators they killed over *1,000 enemy combatants*. Like I said, training and technological force multipliers.

As a side note, yes, they could rain conventional and biochemical shells on the US, but then the entire country of North Korea would be saturated with nuclear fire.
El TC wrote:5. Tanks
US tanks are designed to operate in open fields.American and Western tank commanders do not know how to fight tank battles in rugged terrains like those of Korea. Tank battles in Korea will be fought on hilly terrains without any close air cover, because North Korean fighters will engage US planes in close dog fights.
Any sources for this? Of course not. I'll say right out that this paragraph is bullcrap. North Korean fighters can't reach up to bomber height to engage in "dogfights" and most US figher planes could destroy NK fighters before they even see them. Read the following article instead:
Air force
As of 1992, the North Korean Air Force comprised about 1,620 aircraft and 70,000 personnel, with roughly twice the number of aircraft as the South. Most of its aircraft are obsolete Soviet models and Chinese copies, but it has been modernizing since the 1980s. Aircraft holdings include 190 MiG-21s, thirty MiG-29s, sixty MiG-23s, forty Q-5 Fantans, plus an additional 250 or so of older MiG-19s, MiG-17s and Su-7s. Since the 1980s, the air force has expanded its inventory of helicopters from 40 to 275. This inventory includes Mi-24s, Mi-2s, Mi-4s, and Mi-8s. In 1985, North Korea circumvented U.S. export controls to buy eighty-seven U.S.-manufactured civilian Hughes H-6 model helicopters. North Korea does not manufacture its own aircraft, but it does produce spare parts. The air defense is also equipped with old Soviet SAMs, including many batteries of SA-2s, SA-3s and SA-5s. An assesment by US analysts GlobalSecurity.org is that the air force "has a marginal capability for defending North Korean airspace and a limited ability to conduct air operations against South Korea."
http://www.en.wikipedia.com/wiki/North_KoreaNorth Korean would get demolished in an air assault. And this stupidity about "American and Western tank commanders do not know how to fight tank battles in rugged terrains like those of Korea." is just absoloute garbage. This entire article seems more propaganda then real news to me.
El TC wrote:North Korea has developed tanks ideally suited for the many rivers and mountains of Korea. These tanks are called "Chun-ma-ho", which can navigate steep slopes and cross rivers as much as 5.5 m deep. North Korea's main battle tanks - T-62s - have 155 mm guns and can travel as fast as 60 km per hour. The US main tanks - M1A - have 120 mm guns and cannot travel faster than 55 km per hour. North Korean tanks have skins 700 mm thick and TOW-II is the only anti-tank missile in the US arsenal that can penetrate this armored skin.
"M1 Abrams have Chobham composite armor which can shed most enemy weapons, including ATGM's, hitting from the front save at point-blank range, while a 125mm APFDS (Armor Piercing, Fin, Discarding Sabot) round can go through that 700mm of steel like a hot knife through butter, out to several kilometers range. This is the _other_ reason why Abrams generally killed Pact tanks without suffering any losses in reply." [1] I'd love to see American tanks go toe to toe with NK tanks.
El TC wrote:Further more, North Korea began to make anti-tank missiles in 1975 and has been improving its anti-tank missiles for the past 30 years. North Korea's anti-tank missiles are rated the best in the world and several foreign nations buy them. The US army in Korea relies on 72 AH-64 Apache attack helicopters to kill North Korean tanks. Each Apache has 16 Hell-Fire anti-tank missiles. As shown in the recent Iraq war, Apaches are fragile and can be easily shot down even with rifles.
The US army has A-10 attack planes to counter North Korea's mechanized units. In case of war, the skies over Korea will be filled with fighters in close dog-fights and the A-10s would be ineffective.
Give me a moment.. HAHAHAAH!!! Apaches are easily shot down with rifles?! Are you smoking crack? "As shown in the recent Iraq war, Apaches are very tough helicopters in terms of armor protection (the only tougher ones in the world are probably some of the armored Hind variants), and it usually takes concentrated point-blank _machine-gun_ (not "rifle") fire to shoot them down." [1] What exactly constitutes "improving for the last 30 years?" The author says that they are the best rated in the world, yet, the very type of anti-tank missile he mentioned earlier (TOW) can penetrate any known tank armor in the world. Whoops. Btw, who decided that it is the best rated? Which nations are buying them? When people are looking for weapons, I dobut North Korea is on top of their list.

(Unless you are looking for some cheapass AK-47's.) They also forget about surgical assaults from CIA/ Special Forces, Tomahawks from ships and submarines, ground forces, bomber strikes, and soon: Rail guns from Naval ships. But hey, let's dont sweat the small stuff, start off with only chewing. (ROTFL) This entire article is so full of holes it's like swiss cheese.
El TC wrote:6. Underground tunnel systems
North Korea is the world most-tunneled nation. Tunnel warfare is conducted by independent company-size units. Tunnel entrances are built to withstand US chemical and biological attacks. Tunnels run zig-zag and have seals, air-purification units, and safe places for the troops to rest. It is believed that North Korea has built about 20 large tunnels near the DMZ. A large tunnel can transport 15,000 troops per hour across the DMZ and place them behind the US troops.
The part about the tunnels is true, although I would venture that the US knows where at least some of these tunnels are. They would be collapsed as soon as the troops are moving through them to invade. (Or if we were to attack first.) I also very seriously doubt that NK can move 15,000 troops in a SINGLE HOUR through a tunnel. Again, no sources cited for this paragraph.
El TC wrote:7. Special Forces
North Korea has the largest special forces, 120,000 troops, in the world. These troops are grouped into light infantry brigades, attack brigades, air-borne brigades, and sea-born brigades - 25 brigades in total.North Korea has the capacity to transport 20,000 special force troops at the same time. North Korea has 130 high-speed landing crafts and 140 hovercrafts. A North Korean hovercraft can carry one platoon of troops at 90 km per hour.
How good are North Korea's special forces? Well, remember the submarine that got stranded?. The sub had two special forces agents who had finished a mission in South Korea and were picked up by the sub before the sub ran into a rock. The two men fought off an army of South Korean troops and remained at large for 50 days, during which they killed 11 of the pursuers.
They only killed off 11 out of an "Army of South Korean troops" out of nearly "50 days?" Thats a pretty pitiful Special Forces if you ask me. I refer again to the "Black Hawk Down" incident where 160 US Army men killed over 1,000 fighters and wounded over 3,000.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Battle_of_Mogadishu Anyone can create a group of soldiers and call it "Special Forces." This quoting seems more to say how CRAPPY their Special Forces are then well trained. I'd like to see their training compared to others of world class reknown. (SAS, SEAL's, etc)
El TC wrote:8. WMD's
North Korea is a nuclear state along with the US, Russia, China, the Great Britain, France, India, Pakistan, and Israel. North Korea has succeeded in weaponizing nuclear devices for missile delivery.
North Korea can produce about 100 missiles a year. It began to make missiles in 1980 and has about 1,000 missiles of various types in place, about 100 of which have nuclear warheads. These missiles are hidden in caves and underground launching pads. At present, the US has no fool-proof defense against North Korean missiles, and in case of war, North Korean missiles can do serious damages: several hundreds of thousands of US troops will die, and scores of US bases and carrier battle groups will be destroyed. The Patriot anti-missile missiles are deployed in South Korea but as shown in the recent Iraq war, the Patriots are not 100% accurate or reliable even under ideal conditions.
Yet again, 0 sources cited. What the heck is this guy getting his information from? As for the production of 1,000 missiles a year, what type of missiles are you talking about? If you produce 1,000 bazooka missiles a year, that doesn't mean much. As for the 100 nukes, thats just blatant garbage. A few nuclear bombs perhaps, but not 100. As for a fool-proof defense, I'd like to see anyone that *does* have one. There isn't a such thing, so such a statement is quite silly really. Stating the obvious, you know?

I'd also point out that with the Korean War ending in 1953, why did it take 27 years for North Korea to start developing missiles? So much for the advancement of technology, haha!
El TC wrote:9. NK's defense against US attacks
North Korea began to build fortifications in 1960s. All key military facilities are built underground to withstand American bunker-buster bombs. North Korea has 8,236 underground facilities that are linked by 547 km of tunnels. Beneath Pyongyang are a huge underground stadium and other facilities. About 1.2 million tons of food, 1.46 million tons of fuel, and 1.67 million tons of ammunition are stored in underground storage areas for wartime use.
Most of the underground facilities are drilled into granite rocks and the entrances face north in order to avoid direct hits by American bombs and missiles. he B-61 Mod 11 is the main bunker buster in the US arsenal. A recent test showed that this buster could penetrate only 6 meters of rock. The latest GBU-28 laser-guided bunker-buster can penetrate to 30m. North Korean bunkers have at least 80 m of top-cover of solid rocks. North Korea has many false caves that emit heats that will misdirect unwary GBU-28/37 and BKU-113 bunker-busters.
These are pretty exact statistics. Of course, yet AGAIN not a single source to back up or verify what this guy is saying. And as for being safe from our bunker busters, we'll just see about that.

Or as my favorite source has written, "How well would these facilities survive direct atomic bombardment, which is exactly what they would be getting given Kim's declared war plan?" [1]
El TC wrote:Air defense
North Korea has reengineered US shoulder-fired anti-aircraft missiles captured in Vietnam, and designed its own missile, wha-sung. North Korea began to manufacture wha-sung missiles in 1980. Wha-sung comes in two models: SA-7 that has an effective range of 5 km and SA-16 with 10 km range. North Korea has more than 15,000 wha-sung missiles in place.
In addition to the missiles, North Korea has 12,000 anti-aircraft guns, including 37mm twin-barrel guns, 23 mm automatics, 57mm, 87mm, and 100mm heavy guns. These are mostly manually operated and thus not subject to electronic warfare.
Anti-aircraft GUNS? Are you really serious? Any bombers that fly over North Korea will be out of range completely, so that is a moot point ot make. (Except sound good.) The SA-7 is about the only really effective weapon they have, but I'm again curious where this guy is getting his information.
El TC wrote:Air
North Korea has three air commands. Each command has a fighter regiment, a bomber regiment, an AN-2 regiment, an attack helicopter regiment, a missile regiment, and a radar regiment. Each command can operate independently. North Korea has 70 airbases, which are fortified against US attacks. Underground hangars protect the planes and have multiple exits for the planes to take off on different runways. North Korea has several fake airfields and fake planes to confuse US attackers.
Korea is 100 km wide and 125 km long, and so US air-to-air missiles would be of limited use and effectiveness, because North Korean MiGs would approach the US planes in close proximity and commingle with US planes, and air-to-air missiles will become useless and machines guns will have to be used. MiG19s have 30mm guns, MiG21s have 23mm guns, and F-14s have 20mm Valkans. North Korean pilots are trained to hug the enemy planes so that air-to-air missiles cannot be used. In contrast, US pilots are trained to lock on the enemy at long distance with radar and fire missiles. US planes are heavily armed with electronics and less agile than the light, lean MiGs that can climb and turn faster than the US planes
What the.. Are you kidding? It's like this guy pulls statistics out of his butt, then begins to go against any viable logic and simply keep's saying that the US will lose. The MiG-19's were introduced in get this, * 1953* Yes, you read that right, 1953. But we should definiately be worried about a plane that was created over 50 years ago. MiG-21's were introduced in *1959*. As for F-14's, the US just decommed it's last F-14 not too long ago. I'm curious how well NK has been able to maintain this "highly sophsiticated equipment" when it can barely feed it's people, continually taking what it can from China and international aid. (Btw, unless your country is literally falling apart you don't typically get international aid, hint hint.)
El TC wrote:11. Electronic warfare
The United States excels in electronic warfare and no nation comes anywhere near the US capability. North Korea began developing its own electronic warfare methods in 1970. It is believed that North Korea has advanced electronic warfare ability. It has numerous counter measures for US electronic warfare. During the recent war in Iraq, the US dropped e-bombs that disabled the Iraqi electronic devices. North Korea relies heavily on non-electronic command and control means, and hence US e-bombs will have limited impacts in North Korea.
Who says North Korea has Advanced Electronic Warfare abilities? Define "Advanced" Again, no sources. As for the boorish comment about non-electronic C&C that is just false. So this author is literally stating that none of, or most of the C&C facilities have no source of power, air purification, water purification, network cabling, or anything reliant on electricity at all? Yeah, sure. Those are all affected by EMP bombs, and it will not be "limited impact" even if viewed in strictly positive frame of mind. This is just wishful thinking.
El TC wrote:North Korea trains about 100 hackers a year and has computer virus battalions in place. These hackers are capable of interrupting US communication networks. In a war game conducted in 1991 by US war planners, North Korea came out the victor with and without nuclear weapons.
North Korea was training hackers back in 1991? Where are the sources? "Computer virus battalions???" Are you kidding me? Go talk with some real hackers and tell that to them. They will laugh their asses off, because I know as well as them that only people who don't know much about computers talk like that. Patches are issued, problems are fixed, and software changes. One virus that is good today won't necessarily even work tomorrow. I'll give the benefeit of a doubt and say yes, they could disrupt US communications. The US military's C&C infrastructure has no connections with the Internet. Sure, we have NIPRNet providing us access, but there is not a direct link to the information that really matters, ala SIPRNet. Not only that, but most of the real operational stuff is passed by internal radio communications and direct sattelite feeds, not the INTERNET. Give me a break. I would spit in this guys face if I could meet him, this entire article is full of fabrications, wishful thinking, and mostly propaganda.
El TC wrote:Kim Jong Il has no doubt that his army can beat the US army.
Data from Han Ho Suk, A Strategy Of Massive
Retaliations Against US Attacks
Well, I hope not! Because he will be in for a big surprise when he does, and we will lose much less troops that way.

I've basically spoke my mind in refuting this hideously large article that you have cited. It's much easier to copy and paste then research multiple articles and consult multiple people to argue it back, lol! Feel free to copy and paste my response and email it to that sorry person that wrote it. Of course if you'd like you can turn around and refute my responses, I'd be interested in seeing how you reply.

If you would like to read some more pwnage, go the the article I quoted a few times as listed below. Man that article was a mouthful to respond to, lol!
[1]
http://militaryminds.tribe.net/thread/8 ... fe190231ac